Content
What is the relationship of the economy to election outcomes? Is it strong enough to predict accurately who will win? Measures of economic performance play a major role in explaining voting behaviour in Western democracies. Some scholars have used this economic-electoral connection in an attempt to forecast the actual vote shares the incumbent party coalition will receive in an election contest. Michael S. Lewis-Beck explores these questions, using the current examples of the French and American upcoming presidential elections.
Michael S. Lewis-Beck is F. Wendell Miller Distinguished Professor of Political Science at the University of Iowa, and currently Visiting Paul-Lazarsfeld-Professor at the Department of Methods at Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Vienna. Michael S. Lewis-Beck is the author of many books and academic articles in this field, among those "The American Voter Revisited”, "How France Votes”, “Forecasting Elections”, “Economics and Politics: The Calculus of Support”. Furthermore, he is an expert in quantitative social science research methods.