Event

Public Lecture by Michael S. Lewis-Beck "Can the Economy Anticipate Election Outcomes?"

Content

What is the relationship of the economy to election outcomes? Is it strong enough to predict accurately who will win? Measures of economic performance play a major role in explaining voting behaviour in Western democracies. Some scholars have used this economic-electoral connection in an attempt to forecast the actual vote shares the incumbent party coalition will receive in an election contest. Michael S. Lewis-Beck explores these questions, using the current examples of the French and American upcoming presidential elections.
Michael S. Lewis-Beck is F. Wendell Miller Distinguished Professor of Political Science at the University of Iowa, and currently Visiting Paul-Lazarsfeld-Professor at the Department of Methods at Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Vienna. Michael S. Lewis-Beck is the author of many books and academic articles in this field, among those "The American Voter Revisited”, "How France Votes”, “Forecasting Elections”, “Economics and Politics: The Calculus of Support”. Furthermore, he is an expert in quantitative social science research methods.

Programme

Opening Remarks

Barbara Prammer
President of the Austrian National Council

Introduction

Rudolf Richter
Dean of the Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Vienna

Can the Economy anticipate Election Outcomes?

Michael S. Lewis-Beck
Professor of Political Science, University of Iowa
Visiting Paul-Lazarsfeld-Professor, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Vienna